Bitcoin rises in 2025 and ignites speculation about a historically Bitcoin supercycle. After an unstable start to the year, renewed momentum, recovery of mood and bullish metrics analysts asking: Are we at CUSP by a Bitcoin Bull Run’s 2017? This Bitcoin price analysis explores cycle comparisons, investor behavior and long-term holder trends to assess the likelihood of an explosive phase in this cryptocurrency market cycle.
How 2025 Bitcoin -Cycle is compared to previous Tyroric
The latest Bitcoin price increase has reset expectations. According to the BTC growth since the Cycle Low diagram, Bitcoin’s course is close with the bikes 2016–2017 and 2020–2021 despite macro -changes and drag.
Historically, Bitcoin Market topped Cycles about 1,100 days from their lowest. About 900 days into the current cycle, there may be hundreds of days left for potential explosive Bitcoin price growth. But does investor behavior and market mechanics support a Bitcoin Supercycle 2025?
Bitcoin Investor Behavior: Echoes of the 2017 Bull Run
To measure cryptocurrency-investor psychology, the 2-year-old rolling MVRV-Z score provides critical insight. This advanced metric is drawing for lost coins, illiquid supply, growing ETF and institutional holdings and changing long -term bitcoin holder behavior.
Last year, when Bitcoin Price hit ~ $ 73,000, MVRV-Z-score reached 3.39-a high but not unprecedented level. Retracement followed and mirrored the mid-cycle consolidations seen in 2017. In particular, Cycle contained several high score in 2017 before its last parabolic Bitcoin rally.
Using Bitcoin Magazine Pro API, a Bitcoin analysis across cycle reveals a striking 91.5% behavioral correlation with double-peak cycle in 2013. With two major tops already-one before-half ($ 74K) and a post-halving ($ 100k+)-a third highest high-high high-high high-high-high-high-higher Bitcoin’s first ever Tyrcycle, a potential characteristic of a Bitcoin supercycle.
The 2017 cycle shows a behavior correlation of 58.6%, while the 2021’s investor behavior is less similar, although its Bitcoin Prpress correlates by ~ 75%.
Long-term Bitcoin holders signalize strong confidence
1+ year HODL wave shows that the percentage of BTC has not moved for a year or more, continues to rise, even when prices are rarely climbing a trend in bull markets that reflect a strong long-term owner-over.
Historically, sharply rises in the HODL wave’s change rate for the most important bottom bottoms, while sharp falls mark tops. Currently, the metric is at a neutral bending point, far from pointed distribution, indicating that long-term bitcoin investors expect significantly higher prices.
Bitcoin supercycle or more consolidation?
Could Bitcoin Replicate 2017’s Euphoric Parabolic Rally? It is possible, but this cycle can cut a unique path that mixes historical patterns with modern cryptocurrency dynamics.
We may be approaching a third major top in this cycle – a first in Bitcoin’s history. Whether this triggers a complete Bitcoin supercycle melting remains uncertain, but key metrics suggest that BTC is far from being topping. Supply is tight, long-term owners remain steadfast, and demand is rising, driven by stableco-growth, institutional Bitcoin investments and ETF streams.
Conclusion: Is a $ 150,000 Bitcoin -Rally in sight?
Drawing direct parallels for 2017 or 2013 is tempting, but Bitcoin is no longer a fringe -active. As a matured, institutionalized market, its behavior develops, but the potential for explosive Bitcoin growth continues.
Historical Bitcoin cycle -Correlations remain high, investor behavior is healthy, and technical indicators signal room to run. Without a greater sign of capitulation, profits or macrow fatty, the scene is set to sustained Bitcoin award expansion. Whether this delivers a $ 150,000 rally or more, 2025 Bitcoin Bull Run could be one for the history books.
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Disclaimer: This article is for information purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.